I have a philosophy on trouble. Don’t feed it, and maybe it will go away. –Frank Sinatra Let’s face it, this market party is getting really wild and for those who don’t want trouble, it’s a good time to leave. I know not what will happen next, but I am envisioning some type of ‘distrubance’ […]
Macro Matters Below I include a Guest Captain Commentary that dovetails perfectly with my Macro thesis. Practically every word of Steve’s missive I support (bolded emphasis/red highlights mine), as I have repeatedly called out in my market analysis for clients. Further, I believe the following five themes frame the backdrop of challenges to our economy and […]
Market Thoughts Investors are selling off the Yen on horrific economic data and the result is a SPY QQQ melt-up, risk-on market. It most likely stops when the Yen selling stops! This is a 3-standard deviation move so it’s a Big Deal that looks risk off but it’s actually JUST the opposite! Soon ? Higher […]
I have recently presented my case that central bank liquidity infusions to stem the economic damage from CoronaVirus could ignite inflation. If so, value stocks would roar back, since so many are tied to the Energy complex. And then a curious thing happened today: both Value (VALU) and Momentum (MTUM) were green in equal amounts […]
While waiting for a rug pull (next 30 days I suspect), here are the strongest looking charts – both Intermarket and Sector. McClellan Summation is still pointing upwards with MACD now cooperating. This is bullish SPY until it reverses. Nasdaq McClellan Summation Index is also pointing upwards, although RSI is strongly overbought. This is still […]
Guess what? The “January Effect” kicked in! As discussed and posted before the holidays, I was expecting the “January Effect” to kick in and bid up those extremely oversold “value” plays wherein all of a sudden they get bought up again. Well, my two favorite themes – IPOs and Pot Stocks – did just that […]
