FISH STORIES / BLOG

Occasionally I blog about fishing, the fishing industry and behind the scenes in the life of this humble fisher. These can be rigorously thought-out or pure fluff pieces. You get what you get. Kinda like fishing.

Macro-To-Micro Power Hour Webinar Recording – Pearls!

  Wednesday I was interviewed by the the one-and-only Jerremy Newsome (two “R”s), who definitely knows how to make his guests feel really comfortable and supported! Being more relaxed definitely allowed me to offer up a lot of ‘pearls’ on how I approach my market analysis. Stuff I bet you didn’t know!! I invite you […]

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Market Thoughts: Inside Jokes & The Week Ahead

Market Thoughts: Inside Jokes & The Week Ahead

Funny Ha-Ha or Funny Strange I am going to share an inside joke with you, and then talk about how this market is one giant Inside Joke. For clients in my Live Trading Room and readers of my Gone Fishing Newsletter, you know how I have been studying and trying hard to...

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Guest Captain Posts: Repo Madness and a P.S.A.

Guest Captain Posts: Repo Madness and a P.S.A.

Consider this a Public Service Announcement Read everything Jess of Monday Morning Macro has written if you are serious about protecting your money.  She is "In The Zone" with this whole Repo Madness: ♥ Far Too Little, Far Too Late ♣ Wait, what? You haven't heard...

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Market Thoughts: Historic Market Timing Calls

Market Thoughts: Historic Market Timing Calls

My job is to identify Inflection Points, and then to 'operationalize' them so as to call out actionable trades for clients. Last week was an exceptional week of Market Timing Calls - from my Bond Short Call the day before a 3-sigma standard deviation move in...

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Market Thoughts: What If There Is A Trade Deal?

Market Thoughts: What If There Is A Trade Deal?

It was a dramatic day in that my recent posts to sell Bonds and Gold/Miners happened much faster than I expected, but also in that I potentially discovered a reason - outside of my published analysis - as to why stocks, bonds, gold moved so strongly today. Quick...

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Market Thoughts: I Sold My Gold & Miners Today

Market Thoughts: I Sold My Gold & Miners Today

Gold and Miners have done nothing wrong to warrant me selling them today. In fact, they have performed beyond expectations since I called for a Gold rally in my June 6 podcast for DailyFX and again updated Gold thesis for SeeItMarket this August.  Samantha LaDuc, July...

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Market Thoughts: Spying a Bond Pullback

Market Thoughts: Spying a Bond Pullback

Welcome to September... Despite a strong week last week - after four weeks of sideways chop - markets opened down to start the new month with Russell the weakest. The stock and major macro moves today were pretty much over within the 1st 15 minutes: USD continues...

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Fishing Idea: CVNA – Candy For Millennials

Fishing Idea: CVNA – Candy For Millennials

On Friday I was asked for my analysis on Carvana - ticker CVNA - for publication at CCN, an online markets and crypto publication out of Norway. Below is the exact analysis I sent, and here is the article they wrote from it - featuring a few quotes of mine that...

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Market Thoughts: Shaken But Not Stirred

Market Thoughts: Shaken But Not Stirred

Courage doesn't always roar. Sometimes courage is the quiet voice at the end of the day whispering, 'I will try again tomorrow.' Mary Anne Radmacher This was my sentiment on the last day of the month of August after a week of chop - both in the indices as well as in...

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Market Thoughts: Out Of The Pool

Market Thoughts: Out Of The Pool

Why Was I Short? What Did I See? The following is a recap of my Intraday Trading off Headline-Risks Friday, along with some of my Intermarket Analysis leading up into the big sell-off that clients had in advance, plus an overview of my Macro Views that support more...

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Market Thoughts: Looking To Change It Up

Market Thoughts: Looking To Change It Up

Market Thoughts It's been over a year now since the 'official' start of the US-China Trade War, if picking Day 1: July 6, 2018 – US implements first China-specific tariffs. I wrote about this disconnect between market price action and valuations in my SeeItMarket...

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Market Thoughts: Trump Triggers China Short Ideas

Market Thoughts: Trump Triggers China Short Ideas

Market Thoughts When is the last time we had Rate cuts and QE at the same time?! We just got both and although it may not time or rhyme with 1995 and 1998 or 2001 and 2007, it certainly does feel foreboding given both trade tensions AND economic slowdown.  THAT was my...

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Elevating Trader Education

Elevating Trader Education

“If I quit now, I will soon be back to where I started. And when I started I was desperately wishing to be where I am now.”  That's how I felt after I embarked on a journey to build a Trader Education App that linked live market orders in a real brokerage account with...

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Market Thoughts: To Cut Or Not To Cut

Market Thoughts: To Cut Or Not To Cut

Market Thoughts  Bifurcated Rate Cut Sentiment When Fed member John Williams suggested last Thursday  that ‘r-star’ is .50%, markets took it as a sign that a 50 bps rate cut is in the cards. Bonds rallied, markets recovered their day’s losses and Gold and Silver...

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Market Thoughts: The Race To The Bottom

Market Thoughts: The Race To The Bottom

Market Thoughts   Central Banks On Parade Markets have no fear. Stocks are at all time highs and Volatility is at all time lows. ECB, BOJ and FED are all due to report their rate decisions in the next week. Draghi goes first. And judging from the price action you...

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Market Thoughts: Thinking Out Loud

Market Thoughts: Thinking Out Loud

Market Thoughts To catch you up on Last Week’s Fishing Lessons / Daily Weather Reports: Monday (yesterday): Market Thoughts: Let’s Talk About Volatility Friday: Market Thoughts: Oil About To Get Busy? Thursday: Market Thoughts: Let’s Talk About Gold Wednesday: Market...

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Market Thoughts: Let’s Talk About Volatility

Market Thoughts: Let’s Talk About Volatility

Market Thoughts My volatility senses were piqued last Monday. I sent out a warning for a market rollover: If you thought that was a nice move from 3018 to 2985, well consider this: my breadth indicators (this is but one) are indicating the roll-over is just starting....

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Market Thoughts: Oil About To Get Busy?

Market Thoughts: Oil About To Get Busy?

Market Thoughts Stocks faded hard into the close Friday, along with Gold and Silver. This was the worst week since end of May. So what changed? Most point to the market discounting that the Fed might not be dovish enough - cutting by only 25 bps versus 50 bps. Market...

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Market Thoughts: Let’s Talk About Gold

Market Thoughts: Let’s Talk About Gold

Market Thoughts Gold Skyrocketed. Why? We have experienced a lot of dis-inflationary headwinds from the synchronized global slowdown and ultra loose monetary policies in the US, Europe and Asia specifically but globally in general. What could change these dis...

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Market Thoughts: Silver and Gold Are The New VIX

Market Thoughts: Silver and Gold Are The New VIX

Market Thoughts There's a lot to unpack in the growing instability of the markets right now so I'm going to resort to equal parts summarizing with granularity. Banks - All four Big Banks have reported - C, BAC, JPM, WFC  - and all delivered positive earnings surprises...

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Market Thoughts: As Good As It Gets?

Market Thoughts: As Good As It Gets?

Market Thoughts "What makes it so hard is not that you had it bad, but that you're that pissed that so many others had it good." Melvin Udall in As Good As It Gets movie Correct me if I'm wrong, but many traders are in a state of angst. Despite all-time-highs, they...

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Samantha’s Fault!

Samantha’s Fault!

My cheery, live trading room moderator, WallStreetJane, can be heard calling out, "Samantha's Fault!" And she's right. All FIVE Daily Market Thoughts from LAST WEEK (July 8-12) are now posted in the right place... under FISHING LESSONS for non-members, Daily Weather...

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Market Thoughts: If You Give A Mouse A Cookie

Market Thoughts: If You Give A Mouse A Cookie

Market Thoughts If you give a mouse a cookie is a children's book that came immediately to mind when reading the constant debate about the slippery slope of 'allowing' markets to influence the Fed's monetary policies. The plot goes like this: A boy gives a cookie to a...

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Market Thoughts: “Crosscurrents”

Market Thoughts: “Crosscurrents”

Market Thoughts In a prepared statement, Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled a rate cut citing “crosscurrents” that are weighing on the economy. Initially, dollar dumped and acted as a catalyst for S&P futures to shoot up. The bullish statement is the salve markets...

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Market Thoughts: Rate Cuts and Dollar Devaluation

Market Thoughts: Rate Cuts and Dollar Devaluation

Market Thoughts The US 10-year yield is chugging higher while the S&P drips lower to its 8D support - with Powell's speech released 90 mins before the open Wednesday (i.e. 8:30 Eastern). USD bulls will argue that any rate cut would be "one and done", but Fed has never...

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Trading Room is Closed Friday July 5th

Trading Room is Closed Friday July 5th

It's a holiday-shortened week and although I will be running my Live Trading Room Mon,Tues and Wed (market closes at 1PM Wed), markets are closed Thursday for Independence Day and I will be traveling Friday to visit family in upstate NY ... So No Trading Room Friday!...

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