TIPs Are Rigged; Watch Gold For Inflation/Deflation Tell

TIPs Are Rigged; Watch Gold For Inflation/Deflation Tell

FED has been buying a large share of TIPS recently – approaching 20% of the market this year. So at the same time they are talking up inflation they are artificially driving up inflation expectations. That should obviously have some inflationary impact on the TIPs premia, hence an artificial boost of the apparent breakevens. Even […]

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Premium Video: Biden Rally Into Resistance

Premium Video: Biden Rally Into Resistance

CLIENT VIDEO – Premarket review of Samantha’s take on today’s short-covering open gap higher after four weeks of SPY closing on weekly lows. Will Biden’s lead over Trump in the polls help economically-sensitive plays in Q4 like she suspects (think Value over Growth)? Will Biden’s greater chances for getting Fiscal stimulus approved help spur speculative […]

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What’s on Tap Weekly Calendar: September 28 – October 2nd

What’s on Tap Weekly Calendar: September 28 – October 2nd

What’s on Tap Weekly Calendar Monday September 28th Economic Calendar: ·      10:30 AM EST             Dallas Fed Manufacturing for September Earnings Calendar: ·      Earnings Before the Open: CALM, FLUX, PRCP, THO ·      Earnings After the Close: PCYG, UNFI Tuesday September 29th Economic Calendar: ·      7:45 AM EST               ICSC Weekly Retail Sales ·      8:30 AM EST               Advance Goods Trade Balance for August ·      8:55 AM EST               Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales […]

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Premium Video and Intermarket Chart Review Part 2: Puzzle Pieces – Volatility of Things

Premium Video and Intermarket Chart Review Part 2: Puzzle Pieces – Volatility of Things

Client Video – In follow up to yesterday’s presentation – Premium Video and Intermarket Chart Review: Trapped Equity Longs, Trapped Dollar Shorts – Samantha shares with clients her intermarket analysis from Weekly to Hourly timeframes and the macro that supports her thinking on market direction, volatility of all things, inflation/deflation and safety trades. (Charts from the […]

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Premium Video and Intermarket Chart Review: Trapped Equity Longs, Trapped Dollar Shorts

Premium Video and Intermarket Chart Review: Trapped Equity Longs, Trapped Dollar Shorts

CLIENT VIDEO: Samantha discusses her recent market-timing calls after another gap down opening, her read on what’s next based on her key daily indicators, spotlights one sector being affected by news, reviews currency and currency volatility as well as spends time highlighting key trends and sectors from her intermarket analysis to help you frame your […]

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Premium Video: Rolling Down to 3200

Premium Video: Rolling Down to 3200

CLIENT VIDEO – with quarterly view of SPX with Samantha’s price targets. Clients already had this technical read PLUS warning of “waterfall” based on cumulative volume selling under the surface + option flow/gamma take with her stock-bond-volatility trigger and macro/currency moves. Included: an update on her Gold, Silver, Miner short on US Dollar Bounce. (fuller […]

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Uncertainty Rises with Volatility into October

Uncertainty Rises with Volatility into October

Elections are uncertain. Volatility not so much. We are 29 trading days from the election. Historical pattern is for a lower SPX and stronger USD: As my recent client posts and recent calls in my trading room point out, I have been fully expecting a higher US Dollar and weakness in Tech. We’ve had substantial […]

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What’s on Tap Weekly Calendar: September 21 – 25

What’s on Tap Weekly Calendar: September 21 – 25

What’s on Tap Weekly Calendar Monday September 21st Economic Calendar: ·      No Major Economic Data Released Earnings Calendar: ·      Earnings Before the Open: None ·      Earnings After the Close: None Other Key Events: ·      European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) Virtual Congress, 9/19-9/21 ·      Mizuho Virtual Software Tout, 9/21-9/22 Tuesday September 22nd Economic Calendar: ·      7:45 AM EST               ICSC Weekly Retail […]

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What’s on Tap Weekly Calendar: September 14 – 18

What’s on Tap Weekly Calendar: September 14 – 18

What’s on Tap Weekly Calendar Monday September 14th Economic Calendar: ·      No Major Economic Data Released Earnings Calendar: ·      Earnings Before the Open: None ·      Earnings After the Close: CSBR, LEN, MIND, VNCE Other Key Events: ·      Jefferies Virtual Software Conference, 9/14-9/15 ·      Morgan Stanley 18th Annual Global Healthcare Virtual Conference, 9/14-9/18 ·      RBC Capital Global Industrials Conference, 9/14-9/15 ·      Roth Capital Solar & Storage Symposium, 9/14-9/17 […]

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Trade Alert – #Trend GDX – CLOSED

Trade Alert – #Trend GDX – CLOSED TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE S= STOCK UNDERLYING STOP LOSS P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES % PROFIT /LOSS REALIZED PROFIT /LOSS DAYS IN TRADE Trend GDX 2.88 […]

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Trade Alert – #Swing SLV – CLOSED

Trade Alert – #Swing SLV – CLOSED TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE S= STOCK UNDERLYING STOP LOSS P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES % PROFIT /LOSS REALIZED PROFIT /LOSS DAYS IN TRADE Swing SLV 0.98 […]

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Intermarket Chart Attack: Top of the Mountain

Intermarket Chart Attack: Top of the Mountain

After the best August in 36 years, the Nasdaq lost 10% in 3 days – the fastest drop ever. My last client post intonated as such: Intermarket Chart Attack: Let’s Talk About That Volatility Impulse 2020 so far (@ukarlewitz) Fastest bear market Highest % down days Fastest bull market Shortest bear market Highest % up days […]

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Trade Alert – #Chase GS – CLOSED

Trade Alert – #Chase GS – CLOSED TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE S= STOCK UNDERLYING STOP LOSS P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES % PROFIT /LOSS REALIZED PROFIT /LOSS DAYS IN TRADE Chase GS 1.1 […]

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What’s on Tap Weekly Calendar: September 7 – 11th

What’s on Tap Weekly Calendar: September 7 – 11th

What’s on Tap Weekly Calendar Monday September 7th Economic Calendar: ·      Markets are closed for Labor Day holiday Other Key Events: ·      None Tuesday September 8th Economic Calendar: ·      6:00 AM EST               NFIB Small Business Optimism for Aug ·      7:45 AM EST               ICSC Weekly Retail Sales ·      8:55 AM EST               Johnson/Redbook Weekly Sales ·      3:00 PM EST               Consumer Credit for July […]

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Trade Alert – #Swing TLT – OPEN

Trade Alert – #Swing TLT – OPEN TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE S= STOCK UNDERLYING STOP LOSS P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES Swing TLT 1.6 SEP18 $160P Higher Yields $163.2 $168 $156 $.84 0.00 […]

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Trade Alert – #Swing TWTR – CLOSED

Trade Alert – #Swing TWTR – CLOSED TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE S= STOCK UNDERLYING STOP LOSS P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES % PROFIT /LOSS REALIZED PROFIT /LOSS DAYS IN TRADE Swing TWTR 1.03 […]

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Trade Alert – #Chase SNAP – CLOSED

Trade Alert – #Chase SNAP – CLOSED TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE S= STOCK UNDERLYING STOP LOSS P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES % PROFIT /LOSS REALIZED PROFIT /LOSS DAYS IN TRADE Chase SNAP 1.02 […]

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Trade Alert – #AdvancedOptions JNJ – CLOSED

Trade Alert – #AdvancedOptions JNJ – CLOSED TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE S= STOCK UNDERLYING STOP LOSS P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES % PROFIT /LOSS REALIZED PROFIT /LOSS DAYS IN TRADE AdvancedOptions JNJ 0.52 […]

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Trade Alert – #Trend VZ – CLOSED

Trade Alert – #Trend VZ – CLOSED TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE % TRAILING STOP P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES % PROFIT /LOSS REALIZED PROFIT /LOSS DAYS IN TRADE Trend VZ 1.04 OCT16 $60C […]

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Trade Alert – #Swing VXX – CLOSED

Trade Alert – #Swing VXX – CLOSED TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE S= STOCK UNDERLYING STOP LOSS P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES % PROFIT /LOSS REALIZED PROFIT /LOSS DAYS IN TRADE Swing VXX 0.87 […]

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Trade Alert – #AdvancedOptions NFLX – CLOSED

Trade Alert – #AdvancedOptions NFLX – CLOSED TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE S= STOCK UNDERLYING STOP LOSS P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES % PROFIT /LOSS REALIZED PROFIT /LOSS DAYS IN TRADE AdvancedOptions NFLX 0.73 […]

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Trade Alert – #AdvancedOptions NFLX – OPEN

Trade Alert – #AdvancedOptions NFLX – OPEN TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE S= STOCK UNDERLYING STOP LOSS P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES AdvancedOptions NFLX 0.73 SEP4 $565C $552 $545 $570 $3.65 0.00 $0.00 9/3/2020 […]

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Trade Alert – #Chase DKNG – CLOSED

Trade Alert – #Chase DKNG – CLOSED TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE % TRAILING STOP P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES % PROFIT /LOSS REALIZED PROFIT /LOSS DAYS IN TRADE Chase DKNG 1.05 SEPT18 $45C […]

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Trade Alert – #Stocks GME – CLOSED

Trade Alert – #Stocks GME – CLOSED TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE % TRAILING STOP P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES % PROFIT /LOSS REALIZED PROFIT /LOSS DAYS IN TRADE Stocks GME 20.01 LONG STOCK […]

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Trade Alert – #Chase GS – OPEN

Trade Alert – #Chase GS – OPEN TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE S= STOCK UNDERLYING STOP LOSS P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES Chase GS 1.1 BOT SEP18 $210C x1 / SLD SEP18 $220C x1 […]

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Trade Alert – #Chase DKNG – OPEN

Trade Alert – #Chase DKNG – OPEN TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE % TRAILING STOP P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES Chase DKNG 1.05 SEPT18 $45C Jordon News/Chart $40.03 $~25% $50 $1.75 0.00 $0.00 9/2/2020 […]

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Trade Alert – #Trend VZ – OPEN (STOPCHANGED)

Trade Alert – #Trend VZ – OPEN TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE % TRAILING STOP P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES Trend VZ 1.04 OCT16 $60C oversold value $57.5 $~20% $65 $.8 0.00 $0.00 8/5/2020 […]

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Trade Alert – #Stocks GME – OPEN (STOPCHANGED)

Trade Alert – #Stocks GME – OPEN TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE % TRAILING STOP P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES Stocks GME 20.01 LONG STOCK 99% SHORT $4.91 $~8% $6.60, $7.85 $4.94 0.00 $0.00 […]

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Trade Alert – #Chase SNAP – OPEN

Trade Alert – #Chase SNAP – OPEN TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE S= STOCK UNDERLYING STOP LOSS P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES Chase SNAP 1.02 SEP18 $23C 10WK Bounce $23.25 $22.25 $25.75 $1.27 0.00 […]

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Trade Alert – #Swing TWTR – OPEN

Trade Alert – #Swing TWTR – OPEN TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE S= STOCK UNDERLYING STOP LOSS P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES Swing TWTR 1.03 OCT16 $43C Value Tech $43.27 $40 $49.97 $3.42 0.00 […]

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Trade Alert – #Swing TWTR – CLOSED

Trade Alert – #Swing TWTR – CLOSED TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE S= STOCK UNDERLYING STOP LOSS P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES % PROFIT /LOSS REALIZED PROFIT /LOSS DAYS IN TRADE Swing TWTR 1.05 […]

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Trade Alert – #Swing SPY – CLOSED

Trade Alert – #Swing SPY – CLOSED TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE % TRAILING STOP P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES % PROFIT /LOSS REALIZED PROFIT /LOSS DAYS IN TRADE Swing SPY 0.82 SEP18 $345P […]

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Trade Alert – #AdvancedOptions JNJ – OPEN

Trade Alert – #AdvancedOptions JNJ – OPEN TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE S= STOCK UNDERLYING STOP LOSS P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES AdvancedOptions JNJ 0.52 SEP18 $155C $152.9 $149.6 $157 $1.73 0.00 $0.00 9/2/2020 […]

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Trade Alert – #Chase NFLX – CLOSED

Trade Alert – #Chase NFLX – CLOSED TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE % TRAILING STOP P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES % PROFIT /LOSS REALIZED PROFIT /LOSS DAYS IN TRADE Chase NFLX 0.64 SEP4 $580C […]

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Trade Alert – #Chase NFLX – OPEN (STOPCHANGED)

Trade Alert – #Chase NFLX – OPEN TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE % TRAILING STOP P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES Chase NFLX 0.64 SEP4 $580C $549 $~25% $580 $3.2 0.00 $0.00 9/1/2020 11:55

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Trade Alert – #Chase NFLX – OPEN

Trade Alert – #Chase NFLX – OPEN TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE S= STOCK UNDERLYING STOP LOSS P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES Chase NFLX 0.64 SEP4 $580C $549 $543 $580 $3.2 0.00 $0.00 9/1/2020 […]

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Trade Alert – #AdvancedOptions NFLX – CLOSED

Trade Alert – #AdvancedOptions NFLX – CLOSED TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE S= STOCK UNDERLYING STOP LOSS P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES % PROFIT /LOSS REALIZED PROFIT /LOSS DAYS IN TRADE AdvancedOptions NFLX 0.68 […]

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Trade Alert – #Swing PFE – CLOSED

Trade Alert – #Swing PFE – CLOSED TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE S= STOCK UNDERLYING STOP LOSS P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES % PROFIT /LOSS REALIZED PROFIT /LOSS DAYS IN TRADE Swing PFE 0.99 […]

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Trade Alert – #AdvancedOptions NFLX – OPEN

Trade Alert – #AdvancedOptions NFLX – OPEN TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE S= STOCK UNDERLYING STOP LOSS P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES AdvancedOptions NFLX 0.68 SEP4 $580C $549.5 $545 $580 $3.4 0.00 $0.00 9/1/2020 […]

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Trade Alert – #Swing SPY – OPEN

Trade Alert – #Swing SPY – OPEN TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE % TRAILING STOP P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES Swing SPY 0.82 SEP18 $345P Hedge $350.35 $~25% $345 $4.09 0.00 $0.00 9/1/2020 11:12

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Trade Alert – #Swing VXX – OPEN

Trade Alert – #Swing VXX – OPEN TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE S= STOCK UNDERLYING STOP LOSS P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES Swing VXX 0.87 SEP18 $23C Hedge $26.65 $25 $29 $4.35 0.00 $0.00 […]

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Trade Alert – #Stocks GME – Trim

Trade Alert – #Stocks GME – Trim TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE S= STOCK UNDERLYING STOP LOSS P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES % PROFIT /LOSS REALIZED PROFIT /LOSS DAYS IN TRADE Stocks GME 20.01 […]

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UNLOCKED Fishing Video: Lots of Micro and Key Macro

UNLOCKED Fishing Video: Lots of Micro and Key Macro

Had a bit of an analyst’s hot streak this week – from lots of individual stocks (micro) to impending bond drop/rate spike (macro). THIS is an example of what I do every trading day in my Live Trading Room.     DKNG, SBUX, GPS, NIO, BABA, SHAK, CRWD, SPWR,...
Intermarket Chart Attack: Let’s Talk About That Volatility Impulse

Intermarket Chart Attack: Let’s Talk About That Volatility Impulse

Back on August 18th, I alerted clients that a “Volatility Impulse” was getting closer as a suggestion to really reflect on trend/swing longs and think seriously about tightening stops. Intermarket Chart Attack: Volatility Impulse Is Getting Closer I wanted to follow up today as we have had many Macro news events that did in fact […]

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Trade Alert – #Trend GOGO – CLOSED

Trade Alert – #Trend GOGO – CLOSED TYPE SYMBOL POSITION SIZE ($1000) TACTIC: S or O THESIS E= STOCK UNDERLYING ENTRY PRICE S= STOCK UNDERLYING STOP LOSS P= STOCK UNDERLYING PROFIT EXIT ENTRY PRICE % SOLD EXIT PRICE DATE ENTERED DATE EXITED NOTES % PROFIT /LOSS REALIZED PROFIT /LOSS DAYS IN TRADE Trend GOGO 20 […]

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