by Samantha LaDuc | Dec 27, 2019
Cannabis Tax Loss Selling Tax loss selling should kick into high gear over the next couple of weeks as investors seek to offset capital gains before year’s end. For those wanting to play the “January Effect”, public marijuana stocks is one beat up area to look. That’s the widely researched market anomaly that finds depressed […]
by Samantha LaDuc | Dec 26, 2019
2020 PRIVATE EQUITY OUTLOOK: Pitchbook’s private equity analysts just released their 2020 predictions and analysis for the PE industry. Here are several that caught my eye: — We will see another acquisition of a major alternative asset manager: “On the heels of Brookfield’s $4.7 billion acquisition of credit-focused Oaktree and SoftBank’s $3.3 billion purchase of long-time […]
by Samantha LaDuc | Nov 22, 2019
The following is a recent (from June) Investment idea from a friend – a 35 private investor from Isreal and former Wall Street hedge fund manager. His name is Omero and he is more than successful. Kamada is his largest position in his portfolio. Omero is also the one who recommended CVET recently which I […]
by Samantha LaDuc | Nov 20, 2019
Top Risks I See Right Now 1. China retaliation over US support for Hong Kong. US sanctions and trade war escalation with China/Hong Kong US Senate passed Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act by unanimous consent. House passed it by unanimous consent earlier, so...
by Samantha LaDuc | Nov 16, 2019
While $SPX has reached a new high Friday, top 10 IPOs have been plunging since July: As crazy as this may sound, IPOs may qualify as “value plays” given how much they have fallen this year. Given the out-sized moves on Friday, I decided to dig in a bit...
by Samantha LaDuc | Nov 10, 2019
Marc Chandler is Chief Market Strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex, LLC and writes a daily post on currencies, global equities and bonds. He is a must-follow for his daily summary of what has happened in markets as well as thoughtful commentary on upcoming events as well as historical relevance. This week he wrote about risks […]
by Samantha LaDuc | Nov 6, 2019
As mentioned yesterday in my Market Thoughts: Feeling Skiddish – US stocks are the most overbought since Jan 2018 heading into impeachment kickoff next Wednesday. SPY puts have an incredibly low IV of 8. EIGHT! I do not see what excitement the bulls can muster to drop that further. Also, our biggest US Bank, JPM, may […]
by Samantha LaDuc | Nov 6, 2019
My job – as trader (and mother for that matter) – is to first look first at the Risks and then proceed with the Opportunities. I see Reflation as a Big Trade opportunity. But I also see the market about ready to roll over. I thought we might chop into...
by Samantha LaDuc | Nov 5, 2019
This post will be but a placeholder as I intend to follow up with a fuller note as to WHY I like Platinum and Palladium as longer-term investment themes (fundamentally) as this Reflation Trade thesis plays out more fully. For now, here is a good starting point…my Intermarket Analysis identifying technical entry points for both. […]
by Samantha LaDuc | Oct 30, 2019
That Was Predictable It was a boring reaction to the October 30th FOMC rate decision, because the Fed did 100% exactly what was priced in. 84 FOMC meetings since expansion began… 72 meetings: mkt priced in no rate change & no change. 9 meetings: mkt priced...
by Samantha LaDuc | Oct 29, 2019
I have been asked a few times if I think this Momentum-to-Value rotation call I made in early September will continue. Julian Brigden of mi2partners.com and I were discussing via direct message on twitter and email whether the current rotation will be driven via...
by Samantha LaDuc | Oct 18, 2019
As a result of talks between US and China being reported as going well, the Yuan has been rising while the USD falls for a change. When negotiations broke-down in August, it weakened beyond 7 for the first time in more than a decade, prompting Washington to formally label Beijing a currency manipulator. But in […]
by Samantha LaDuc | Oct 17, 2019
Here’s how we faded the Pop in NFLX in my Live Trading Room this morning: Netflix was up 10% after hours Wednesday to $318.79, which excited the Bulls. My immediate reaction was to short the pop ~$315, as I expected the many (45K contracts in Open Interest) who...
by Samantha LaDuc | Oct 12, 2019
Repo Market Madness… and Flash Crashes!?! I stand by my call that risk of Flash Crash increases with Major Momo distribution under the seemingly calm surface and major structural USD implications spur potential panic for Cash. Perhaps the repo ruckus isn’t...
by Samantha LaDuc | Oct 2, 2019
“Use what talents you possess; the woods would be very silent if no birds sang there except those that sang best.”Henry van Dyke Clients know I may not position or manage trades as well as I would like while analyzing, live commentating, engaging directly with clients, writing profusely, and trading across multiple timeframes… but they […]