Intermarket Chart Attack: Volatility Impulse Is Getting Closer

Intermarket Chart Attack: Volatility Impulse Is Getting Closer

I have a philosophy on trouble.  Don’t feed it, and maybe it will go away. –Frank Sinatra Let’s face it, this market party is getting really wild and for those who don’t want trouble, it’s a good time to leave. I know not what will happen next, but I am envisioning some type of ‘distrubance’ […]

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Fishing Plan for Week of May 4 – 8: Rapid Shifts

Fishing Plan for Week of May 4 – 8: Rapid Shifts

Market Thoughts This morning I had one target in SPX as called out in my live trading room: $2898. It was hit aaaand then it was rejected. (Not my first rodeo.) Having said that, I still expect chop this week into Non-Farm Payrolls. A few reasons: We haven’t gone anywhere really but sideways for 18 […]

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Premium Video: May Day Market Review

Premium Video: May Day Market Review

For Clients Only: As warned Thursday in my live trading room, and in my “Month in Review: Nobody left to Squeeze“ client post, markets had hit key resistance levels Thursday and would likely digest/pull back post FOMC and FAAMG earnings. Friday morning I warned at the open: “I think we’re going to have a trend […]

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Gone Fishing Newsletter: The Economic Event of Our Lifetime

Gone Fishing Newsletter: The Economic Event of Our Lifetime

Macro Matters Below I include a Guest Captain Commentary that dovetails perfectly with my Macro thesis. Practically every word of Steve’s missive I support (bolded emphasis/red highlights mine), as I have repeatedly called out in my market analysis for clients. Further, I believe the following five themes frame the backdrop of challenges to our economy and […]

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Fishing Plan for Week of Feb 10-14th: Monday

Fishing Plan for Week of Feb 10-14th: Monday

Market Thoughts  My market timing call Friday: Going into the weekend with headline and actual risk, we see bonds and gold getting bid up while miners and silver sell off. Tech is rallying but I contend we are approaching a point soon where this likely becomes a Sold...
Market Thoughts: Value, Here Me Roar

Market Thoughts: Value, Here Me Roar

I have recently presented my case that central bank liquidity infusions to stem the economic damage from CoronaVirus could ignite inflation. If so, value stocks would roar back, since so many are tied to the Energy complex. And then a curious thing happened today: both Value (VALU) and Momentum (MTUM) were green in equal amounts […]

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Why We Bounced Today in 3 Charts

Why We Bounced Today in 3 Charts

 SPX on Support Actually $SPX hit two levels of support which happen to coincide–the 200D and a weekly trend line which creates its lower channel. This combo is even more, well, supportive.   Sentiment was also at a low so it doesn’t hurt that there was...
Election Results? #BTD or #NotDoneYet

Election Results? #BTD or #NotDoneYet

An election–whether waiting on the results or dealing with the aftermath–can make anyone feel afloat in a paper boat on choppy water, small umbrella to protect from the swelling wave. A lot is at stake–both for our nation and for our market. I would...
Pre-Election Results: Oversold Support But Not Really

Pre-Election Results: Oversold Support But Not Really

The entire world awaits the results of the U.S. Presidential Election. Unprecedented angst and uncertainty. And risk. As of Nov 5th, SPX was pricing in a 68% chance for a 33 point move by Nov 9th, the day after the election. That’s a ~$66 expected move in either...