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Second Half Market Thoughts: Fave Trend Set-Ups

Second Half Market Thoughts: Fave Trend Set-Ups

Second Half Market Thoughts By my estimation, and as I’ve repeated in my trading room past month+, Summer Trading will likely include swings – in both directions between SPX $2950-$3250. More than likely, Treasury will keep cash handy to use to support the market and keep it from dropping into the Election. Still, I expect […]

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Risk Parity, Market Gamma & Option-Driven Equity Flows

Risk Parity, Market Gamma & Option-Driven Equity Flows

Recall the 1% Risk Parity Trade of March? I wrote about it here: Gone Fishing Newsletter: The 1% Outlier Event That Tanked Equities 30% – Mar 24, 2020 Back on March 18th, the S&P 500 was down 16% in 7 days while 10-year yields more than doubled. Some risk...
Intermarket Chart Attack: Historic Momentum Factor Rotation Into Value

Intermarket Chart Attack: Historic Momentum Factor Rotation Into Value

Recent Client Newsletters on the Value Rotation Theme: JUNE 1: Intermarket Chart Attack: Value Takes Flight MAY 30: ForexAnalytix Interview: The Case For Value Over Momentum MAY 26: Fishing Plan for Week of May 26 -29: Violent Rotation APRIL 18: Intermarket Chart Attack: Rotation Into Value Set-Up Gluttony After a stunning market rally off the March […]

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Value Remains In Flight

Value Remains In Flight

Last Tuesday, I penned a post for clients entitled, Violent Rotation. It was to highlight a trading theme I spied for the coming week to support my market timing calls to trade long ‘value’ plays – those highly-shorted, ‘high risk, bad-balance...
Intermarket Chart Attack: Value Takes Flight

Intermarket Chart Attack: Value Takes Flight

Market Rallies Despite Riots Despite protests and riots in 50 US cities over the weekend, and escalating tensions between US and China over trade, territories and capital wars, the falling USD is helping equities stay bid. Further evidence to support buying can be found from reports of opened retail brokerage accounts past two months and […]

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Highlights From Today’s Live Trading Room: Tuesday May 26th

Highlights From Today’s Live Trading Room: Tuesday May 26th

Highlights From Today’s Live Trading Room Note: Steve Charros here. I will be assisting Samantha in summarizing the action from inside her live trading room each day as we endeavor to capture, push out and manage the newly-launched Brokerage-Triggered Trade Alerts. To sign up and manage your Trade Alert Portfolios, please make sure to update […]

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Fishing Lesson: Archna’s Correlation & Beta Weighting Class

Archna did a class this week, as part of her Trade Management & Options Education afternoon session, on correlation and beta weighting. It got some good feedback so I wanted to send it out as a stand alone piece. Every DAILY live training session at 1:30 ET has a different focus. Sometimes it is options […]

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Guest Captain Commentary: The Road Through Deflation Toward Eventual Hyperinflation

Guest Captain Commentary: The Road Through Deflation Toward Eventual Hyperinflation

MacroVoices Podcast Dr. Lacy Hunt: The Road Through Deflation Toward Eventual Hyperinflation Every now and then you find an interview that needs to be listened to again and again. @ErikSTownsend ‘s interview with Dr Lacy Hunt on @MacroVoices  is one such example. @njabrooks I am a student of macroeconomics so I tend to look for the best teachers […]

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StockChartsTV Talk: Higher USD, Lower Euro

Tuesday I was invited on “The Final Bar” @StockChartsTV by host @DKellerCMT to discuss my US Dollar higher theme – and EZU lower thesis. Check it out:  (Starts at 12:30 min mark) Big Picture: We are still in a bear market. And as I suggested in late March, I see a multi-month process of digesting […]

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Intermarket Chart Attack: Sell What In May?

Intermarket Chart Attack: Sell What In May?

Big Picture: We are still in a bear market. And as I suggested in late March, I see a multi-month process of digesting the out-sized downdraft in Feb/March, which includes both large rallies and failures. We have only seen the April bear market rally. But as we enter...