I have a philosophy on trouble. Don’t feed it, and maybe it will go away. –Frank Sinatra Let’s face it, this market party is getting really wild and for those who don’t want trouble, it’s a good time to leave. I know not what will happen next, but I am envisioning some type of ‘distrubance’ […]
You want to know when I think Yields really get moving higher? After Bonds reverse of course… Inflation absolutely looks poised for higher, in time, which would support my yield pop thesis as well: Same TIP:TLT ratio from a slightly different perspective, but still bullish next few months, especially as Fed likely does not step […]
This weekend I posted my market analysis from a Macro-to-Technical perspective – Intermarket Chart Attack: Looking Forward. I led with the concept of “China Outperforming” US. Given the recent melt-up in China stocks, I wanted to drill down a bit further and highlight a few more themes, especially on FAANMG, Gold and the USD. Market […]
Recent Client Newsletters on the Value Rotation Theme: JUNE 1: Intermarket Chart Attack: Value Takes Flight MAY 30: ForexAnalytix Interview: The Case For Value Over Momentum MAY 26: Fishing Plan for Week of May 26 -29: Violent Rotation APRIL 18: Intermarket Chart Attack: Rotation Into Value Set-Up Gluttony After a stunning market rally off the March […]
Market Rallies Despite Riots Despite protests and riots in 50 US cities over the weekend, and escalating tensions between US and China over trade, territories and capital wars, the falling USD is helping equities stay bid. Further evidence to support buying can be found from reports of opened retail brokerage accounts past two months and […]
Buyer of Last Resort Fed meets and releases their FOMC minutes today. Some are expecting a negative interest rate announcement. I’m not, but I’m thinking about what it means when they do go negative. More likely, when they need to step in again to backstop falling equities, they will announce ‘yield curve control‘ to start. […]
Inflation/Deflation This is one of my Intermarket Tells I spy for sector rotation: The Inflation/Deflation Ratio by Martin Pring To clarify: Deflation-sensitive stocks include industry groups such as banks, insurers utilities versus inflation-sensitive stocks of mainly mines and energy stocks. A rising ratio is inflationary and is typically conducive to buying metal and mining companies. […]
Debt bubbles are deflationary – as presented in this recent client post: Guest Captain Commentary – Lacy Hunt. Policy response to try and mitigate a rising debt bubble is inflationary. The point of me framing this up front is to set up the applicable time-frame for trading and investment decisions: now versus sometime in the […]
Tuesday Macro-To-Micro Power Hour : STAGFLATION
Join Jonathan @voliswell of @vigtecofficial to discuss
commodities, ETF risks + the ‘only’ 2 strategies moving markets: long vol and short vol. Plus a follow up to last week's SPAC attack. Don't miss it!
https://t.co/qDTKgpV039
Thank you
@StockCharts @StockChartsTV @DKellerCMT @GraysonRoze
for the invite to share my 2021 “Predictions”!
My 2021 “Look Ahead” for StockChartsTV
CHARTING FORWARD 2021
https://t.co/lbgLpTOpoX
