MACRO-TO-MICRO ANALYSISWhere you tune in for my Daily Weather Reports, Fishing Plan, Market Thoughts, Intermarket Analysis and Premium Videos
Where The Fish Are Jumping
I analyze price patterns and intermarket relationships across stocks, commodities, currencies and interest rates. I develop macro investment themes to identify tactical trading opportunities and employ strategic technical analysis to deliver high conviction stock, sector and market calls. My annotated charts are meant to do most of the talking and illustrate multiple time-frames and risk management trade set-ups.
No proprietary indicators are used, just solid chart pattern recognition, volatility insight and some big-picture perspective thrown in.
I am known for timing major inflection points in equities, commodities, bonds/rates, currencies and especially volatility. For clients, I’m putting all of that knowledge and data into live commentating in my trading room, brokerage-triggered trade alerts and research delivered to active traders and investors who want to minimize risk while seizing year-making opportunities.
Here are examples of some of my historic market-timing calls in the recent past:
* Jan ‘18 top (doubled account in 2 weeks)
* Oct 3 ‘18 correction call for 20% (to the day)
* Dec ‘18 V-shaped Rally (published Prediction Dec 13th, )
* May 3 ’19 Correction (called in a Market Huddle podcast)
* June 3 ’19 Gold Rally (called in a DailyFx podcast)
* Sept 3, ’19 ( Bond Short Call the day before a 3-sigma standard deviation move)
* Sept 4 ’19 ( Gold Short Call the day before the parabola broke in precious metals)
* Sept 5 ’19 ( Growth-into-Value Rotation, a 8.5-sigma standard deviation move)
* Feb 18 ’20 ( Market Short Call 3 days before 35% market crash, a 7 standard deviation move)
* Mar 20 ’20 ( Covered all shorts 2 days before market reversed higher)
There are so many services (big and small) that do a great job of summarizing the markets and/or setting the stage of what’s expected moving into a new week. There are many places to source potentially market-moving calendar events and macro news. As an active trader, I tend to have my fave reads and so should you. But I won’t repeat or rehash market reviews here. I assume everyone knows where to find their local weather report.
My Macro-to-Micro Analysis and Videos are my take on weather patterns coming up to better prepare and navigate our upcoming fishing excursions.
This is not a chart review per se but an Intermarket Analysis chart review. What’s the difference? My Pre-Monday Routine is not about scanning individual charts of stocks/sectors/indices specifically. Instead I review my list of Intermarket Analysis charts, which graphically represent relationships (strong and weak) that can be foretelling of how specific stocks/sectors/indices will move! I am not a quant. I am a pattern recognition expert.
The monthly subscription to the LIVE Trading Room includes a full subscription to Samantha’s Gone Fishing Newsletter- basically anything she researches, analyzes and posts in written or video form. This can range from her Market Thoughts to her big picture macro-to-micro inflection read of what assets she sees moving and why. For active investors and money managers interested in Samantha’s Intermarket analysis, this is a good place to review her trading themes and risk management framework.
When I spy some strong pattern I like with indicators to support it, I actively look for a narrative to justify the price action. Yes, you read that correctly: I look for a reason to justify the pattern, not the other way around. Because I believe:
- Price leads fundamentals
- Macro events/policies lead price
- Sentiment is often the ‘noise’ that tries to obscure price
- Intermarket analysis is the decoder that helps telegraph a move before it happens
- Volatility reprices everything
And all of this weather pattern work is why I call myself a Strategic Technical Analyst. Technical Analysis is the science and art of reading a chart, for a pattern, that is made up from an AUCTION between buyers and sellers. And knowing when to enter or exit a trade, safely, is largely technical in nature.
In Summary, I may listen to others review and report on the weather. But weathermen can be wrong. I like to create my own models and interpret them.
I guess you could say I like to make the weather.