The Fed’s Hawkish Hold with Dovish Intention Won’t Save Markets From Liquidity Panic
That Was Predictable It was a boring reaction to the October 30th FOMC rate decision, because the Fed did 100% exactly what was priced in. 84 FOMC meetings since expansion began… 72 meetings: mkt priced in no rate change & no change. 9 meetings: mkt priced in 25...
Recession or Reflation? How About Reflation Then Recession
Julian, I hate gmail. It does terrible things to flow of images when trying to create context. This is a private link – only you get it FYI. As for your question of whether I think this Momentum-to-Value rotation call I made in early September will continue...
Line Spacing Control Guide
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How to display blog as complete newsletter in email not clickable abstract?
Market Thoughts: Can Fed Cuts Save US From Economic Recession? by Samantha LaDuc | Oct 2, 2019 | Daily Weather Report, Fishing Lessons, Market Thoughts I couldn’t make my Market Timing Calls for Clients without the Intermarket Analysis work that I do – which is beyond the Macro, Fundamental, Sentiment and Technical Analysis I provide. Here’s a cute-ish play-by-play on why and […]
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Internmarket Chart Attack: Market Bullish Into FOMC
Here are charts I showed in my live trading room. I am not convicted with this market call but I am making it nonetheless. The following charts I can interpret as bullish leading into FOMC September 17th. SPX is more bullish when/if MACD crosses above 0 line. Ditto: NASI > 0 = Bullish Hedge funds […]
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RealVision TechTrader Interview: Where US Rates Look To Be Going Next 6-12 Months
Segment breakdown: (Intro) – You will do a simple Introduction. Little background on yourself, little preview to what you will be talking about. (content) – then you can start with the meat and get into your thesis and explain your charts (outro) –...
RealVision TechTrader Interview: Where US Rates Look To Be Going Next 6-12 Months
Segment breakdown: (Intro) – You will do a simple Introduction. Little background on yourself, little preview to what you will be talking about. (content) – then you can start with the meat and get into your thesis and explain your charts (outro) – Make you finally...
Prepare For Pullback In Gold Then Relaunch – Just Like 2008
Gold Has Skyrocketed Since May. Why? We have experienced a lot of dis-inflationary headwinds from the synchronized global slowdown and ultra loose monetary policies in the US, Europe and Asia specifically but globally in general. What could change these...
Market Thoughts: Lowest Volume Day of the Year on SPY
Market Thoughts Today witnessed The Lowest Volume Day of the Year on $SPY. With that, there is not a lot of breakout conviction and given the Debt Ceiling Showdown – as talked about earlier in week in detail – it’s probable the market starts to...
Market Thoughts: “Crosscurrents”
Market Thoughts In a prepared statement, Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled a rate cut citing “crosscurrents” that are weighing on the economy. Initially, dollar dumped and acted as a catalyst for S&P futures to shoot up. The bullish statement is the salve markets...
Market Thoughts: Rate Cuts and Dollar Devaluation
Market Thoughts The US 10-year yield is chugging higher while the S&P drips lower to its 8D support – with Powell’s speech released 90 mins before the open Wednesday (i.e. 8:30 Eastern). USD bulls will argue that any rate cut would be “one and...
My Benzinga Presentation June 20 in NYC
After FIVE FULL days in NYC, I am back home and back to my trading desk. My feet+wallet hurt in equal proportions as I secured an Apartment for my daughter’s internship on Wednesday and spent the Weekend walking, drinking and dining with my girlfriend who flew in from...
The Divergence of USD to Treasury Yields is Dangerous
In lieu of a big market sell off on global economic growth slowdown and trade jitters, the market seems to still be expecting the “Art of the Deal” from Trump on China and/or the Fed cutting 75 basis points worth this year – which ever comes first....
Market Thoughts: 5 Day Rule
Market Thoughts 5 Day Rule in play – Basically I have a play in my playbook that says, After a bottoming candle and 5 green bars/candles straight up, “on the 6th day, it should rest and reverse”. (This logic also applies to timing reversals at tops...
Other HIV drugs will also be tested...
#CornonaVirus
6\ For example, one company is testing its HIV protease inhibitors, for new #coronavirus, which was designed to block HIV replication, and previously effective for SARS (Though SARS is only 79%🧬 related to this virus). Other HIV drugs will also be tested. https://t.co/OkPvukkA7g
The Fed isn't going to like it... but Powell will have some explaining to do tomorrow about the central bank's "not QE" program.
The noise around this question -- if "liquidity" via T-bill buying is driving stock markets -- has gotten too loud to ignore.
https://t.co/bTNJuvzRxn
My job is to identify inflection points and market risks so as to help clients more safely trade in any market environment.
This new risk - #CoronaVirus - deserves a healthy measure of respect. Guilty until proven innocent kind of thing. Be safe out there.
Ty Samantha.. https://t.co/LGsxq8U3WJ