Economists get paid on modeling which they learned from other economists + is based on consensus: PAST behaviors.
Those "normal distribution curve" folks may be reasonably trusted 80% of the time, but when we have a Long Tail or FAT TAIL event in the making, you wanna follow me.
Calls been #RightAsRain https://twitter.com/SamanthaLaDuc/status/1527690917699788801
No.
They aren't buying.
No.
They aren't hedging.
THEY
ARE
JUST
SELLING
Careful.
@SamanthaLaDuc Panic = CALL BUYING to BTFD 😉
Wanna read an interesting statistics?
According to Bloomberg, over the last 20 years the only few occasions when the S&P500 dropped 4% in a single day and didn’t rally the day after were during:
- The Great Financial Crisis
- 2011
- The pandemic
- This Wednesday
