Intermarket Chart Attack: Volatility Impulse Is Getting Closer

Intermarket Chart Attack: Volatility Impulse Is Getting Closer

I have a philosophy on trouble.  Don’t feed it, and maybe it will go away. –Frank Sinatra Let’s face it, this market party is getting really wild and for those who don’t want trouble, it’s a good time to leave. I know not what will happen next, but I am envisioning some type of ‘distrubance’ […]

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Intermarket Chart Attack: 1929 or 2008

Intermarket Chart Attack: 1929 or 2008

Worse Than 2008, More Like 1929 As I said repeatedly over the past few weeks to clients: This market is worse than 2008. My Interview with ForexAnalytix and my client posts and videos past month have demonstrated that I see this crisis as unlike any others. From March...
Gone Fishing Newsletter: The Economic Event of Our Lifetime

Gone Fishing Newsletter: The Economic Event of Our Lifetime

Macro Matters Below I include a Guest Captain Commentary that dovetails perfectly with my Macro thesis. Practically every word of Steve’s missive I support (bolded emphasis/red highlights mine), as I have repeatedly called out in my market analysis for clients. Further, I believe the following five themes frame the backdrop of challenges to our economy and […]

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Fishing Plan for Week of Feb 17-21: Wednesday

Fishing Plan for Week of Feb 17-21: Wednesday

Market Thoughts Investors are selling off the Yen on horrific economic data and the result is a SPY QQQ melt-up, risk-on market. It most likely stops when the Yen selling stops! This is a 3-standard deviation move so it’s a Big Deal that looks risk off but it’s actually JUST the opposite!  Soon ?  Higher […]

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Fishing Plan for Week of Feb 10-14th: Monday

Fishing Plan for Week of Feb 10-14th: Monday

Market Thoughts  My market timing call Friday: Going into the weekend with headline and actual risk, we see bonds and gold getting bid up while miners and silver sell off. Tech is rallying but I contend we are approaching a point soon where this likely becomes a Sold...
Anatomy of a Trade: Yen Short (FXY GLD GDX TLT)

Anatomy of a Trade: Yen Short (FXY GLD GDX TLT)

Much attention of late has been focused, with good reason, on rising yields, falling bond prices and the collapse in the Japanese Yen and Gold. So many assets are correlated that as a strategic technical analyst I look for macro themes to show themselves in...
S&P Bulls and Bond Bears Pin Hopes to 1946

S&P Bulls and Bond Bears Pin Hopes to 1946

Higher Rates Can Be Bullish Interest rates follow very long term cycles. Above highlights a 35 year (1946-1981) bond market, but unlike our most recent 35 year (1981-2016) bond market, they were in a rising rate environment (for more than a blip on a chart). From a...
Bond Weary

Bond Weary

S&P Bulls and Bond Bears Pin Hopes to 1946 Interest rates follow very long term cycles. Above highlights a 35 year (1946-1981) bond market–but unlike our most recent 35 year (1981-2016) bond market, they were in a rising rate environment (for more than a...
Rate Prognasticators are as popular as Pollsters

Rate Prognasticators are as popular as Pollsters

Polls and predictive models failed to predict Trump’s strength let alone his win. That’s nothing. Wall street analysts and economists have been getting the rate thing wrong for years, and not by a little. Bloomberg reported hardly anyone on Wall Street saw the...
Captain Calls: Buffett, Rich, Pring

Captain Calls: Buffett, Rich, Pring

There are lots of ideas out there on what to trade. The trick is synthesizing news-you-can use from the noise. Choosing ideas from veterans doesn’t make it a sure thing. But listening to ol’ timers…well, there is so much to be learned from...
October Macro View Review: Did I Say That?

October Macro View Review: Did I Say That?

Every month I write a swing trading newsletter for those who can’t join me in my LIVE Fishing Daily Trading Room but want my macro take on the month ahead, or just my trade ideas they can set and forget. The daily room is for active traders where we mostly chase...
Election Results? #BTD or #NotDoneYet

Election Results? #BTD or #NotDoneYet

An election–whether waiting on the results or dealing with the aftermath–can make anyone feel afloat in a paper boat on choppy water, small umbrella to protect from the swelling wave. A lot is at stake–both for our nation and for our market. I would...