by Samantha LaDuc | Dec 1, 2016
Higher Rates Can Be Bullish Interest rates follow very long term cycles. Above highlights a 35 year (1946-1981) bond market, but unlike our most recent 35 year (1981-2016) bond market, they were in a rising rate environment (for more than a blip on a chart). From a...
by Samantha LaDuc | Nov 28, 2016
S&P Bulls and Bond Bears Pin Hopes to 1946 Interest rates follow very long term cycles. Above highlights a 35 year (1946-1981) bond market–but unlike our most recent 35 year (1981-2016) bond market, they were in a rising rate environment (for more than a...
by Samantha LaDuc | Nov 22, 2016
Polls and predictive models failed to predict Trump’s strength let alone his win. That’s nothing. Wall street analysts and economists have been getting the rate thing wrong for years, and not by a little. Bloomberg reported hardly anyone on Wall Street saw the...
by Samantha LaDuc | Nov 22, 2016
Every month I write a swing trading newsletter for those who can’t join me in my LIVE Fishing Daily Trading Room but want my macro take on the month ahead, or just my trade ideas they can set and forget. The daily room is for active traders where we mostly chase...
by Samantha LaDuc | Nov 5, 2016
The entire world awaits the results of the U.S. Presidential Election. Unprecedented angst and uncertainty. And risk. As of Nov 5th, SPX was pricing in a 68% chance for a 33 point move by Nov 9th, the day after the election. That’s a ~$66 expected move in either...