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Macro-to-Micro Analyst+OptionsTrader Forecast+Chase https://t.co/MrMkwZYdvt https://t.co/GZILqexQ5C https://t.co/yZsZJcrKAz @LaDucTrading
Some good news on that GDP print - for the consumer - which is also good for my THINGS OVER PAPER theme ;-)
Normally such a massive jump in inventories, +$173bn in Q4 and accounting for 4.9ppts of the 6.9% gain in GDP would be very negative for future growth. However, it's + as supply chains eased, consumers will have goods to buy. And key, inventories/sales are still extremely low!
Increasing risk of Double Jeopardy - no fiscal and tighter monetary means now market has to climb the worry wall of tipping into recession sooner rather than later.
🇺🇸❗Early signs of yield curve inversion❗
The spread between 10-year and 7-year yields is 2bps away from getting inverted.
Long-term yields are dropping today as investors contemplate a slowdown in growth caused by an aggressive Fed.
That was the money quote.
LIVE trading room action is THE BEST way to play Fed day:
$DXY higher with $EURUSD lower
$TNX higher with $SPX $NDX lower
*POWELL: INFLATION RISKS ARE STILL TO THE UPSIDE IN MY VIEW