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by Samantha LaDuc | Jul 14, 2020

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Samantha LaDucFollow

Macro-to-Micro Analyst+Trader Forecast+Chase https://t.co/MrMkwZYdvt https://t.co/GZILqexQ5C https://t.co/yZsZJcrKAz https://t.co/UmKuhy2OwV

Samantha LaDuc
SamanthaLaDucSamantha LaDuc@SamanthaLaDuc·
2h

THAT!

My bet remains for 2022-24:

Waves of inflation peaks and equity bottoms.

Cassandra B.C.@michaeljburry

Nasdaq a bull market because it is up 20% off its low?
Who makes this stuff up?

After 2000, the Nasdaq did that 7 times as it fell 78% to its 2002 low.

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Vera_Icona_23George Hart@Vera_Icona_23·
11h

Worth mulling over on a day when the market is celebrating an "easing" of inflation. There's been a step function in prices since 2020. Pressure for real wages to compensate for that is going to be relentless. Tight labor mkt is getting more so as college students return to class https://twitter.com/SamanthaLaDuc/status/1557321695601516545

Samantha LaDuc@SamanthaLaDuc

Oct 2021 I predicted this:

https://laductrading.com/deflation-ended-with-covid/

The trend in productivity growth is worse than before Covid while higher wages (“surge in unit labor costs”) makes a Fed pivot, in my long-held opinion, the outlier - as inflation stays sticky where it matters to the Fed: WAGES https://twitter.com/eshow1969/status/1557047729842446337

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SamanthaLaDucSamantha LaDuc@SamanthaLaDuc·
16h

Oct 2021 I predicted this:

https://laductrading.com/deflation-ended-with-covid/

The trend in productivity growth is worse than before Covid while higher wages (“surge in unit labor costs”) makes a Fed pivot, in my long-held opinion, the outlier - as inflation stays sticky where it matters to the Fed: WAGES

ERS@eshow1969

Wages increased 10.7% in the second quarter (9.5% exp) and productivity fell at a seasonally adjusted rate of 4.6%, following a 7.4% pullback in Q1 (largest drop in 74 years)…….sure looks like we have hit the stagflation portion of the agenda.

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Samantha LaDuc
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Disclaimer

You are responsible for your own results. If I can teach you something, great, but I’m not responsible for your success or failure. Trading is guaranteed to have losses. Some out-sized ones if you don’t manage risk. In no way are my educational methods, analysis or trades suggesting a sure thing. Trade your own plan. Good luck and remember: WE MAKE OUR OWN LUCK. See terms.

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