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What’s on Tap Weekly Calendar: August 12 – 16

What’s on Tap Weekly Calendar: August 12 – 16

What’s on Tap Weekly Calendar   Monday August 12th Economic Calendar: 8:30 AM EST               Monthly Budget Statement for July Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: EOLS, SYY, TRWH Earnings After the Close: BE, FPAY, OPTN, RMBL, SMTA Other Key Events: BTIG...
Market Thoughts: We Had The Rollover

Market Thoughts: We Had The Rollover

I sent out a warning for a market rollover: July 22nd. “my breadth indicators (this is but one) are indicating the roll-over is just starting. The indices just don’t know it yet .” Samantha LaDuc And here we are… August 5th, and that doesn’t...
Market Thoughts: Looking To Change It Up

Market Thoughts: Looking To Change It Up

Market Thoughts It’s been over a year now since the ‘official’ start of the US-China Trade War, if picking Day 1: July 6, 2018 – US implements first China-specific tariffs. I wrote about this disconnect between market price action and valuations in...
What’s On Tap Weekly Calendar: August 5 -9

What’s On Tap Weekly Calendar: August 5 -9

What’s on Tap Weekly Calendar   Monday August 5th Economic Calendar: 9:45 AM EST               Markit US Services PMI, Jul-F… 9:45 AM EST               Markit US Composite PMI, Jul-F… 10:00 AM EST             ISM Non-Manufacturing Index for July… Earnings Calendar:...
Market Thoughts: Trump Triggers China Short Ideas

Market Thoughts: Trump Triggers China Short Ideas

Market Thoughts When is the last time we had Rate cuts and QE at the same time?! We just got both and although it may not time or rhyme with 1995 and 1998 or 2001 and 2007, it certainly does feel foreboding given both trade tensions AND economic slowdown.  THAT was my...
Market Thoughts: From QT to QE in a New York Minute

Market Thoughts: From QT to QE in a New York Minute

Market Thoughts Despite market at all-time-highs, positive GDP growth, unemployment at 50 yr lows and, as a result, consumer confidence near 20 year highs, oh, and even with fiscal and monetary conditions at their loosest in decades, Fed Chair Powell announced the...
Market Thoughts: US Dollar on Path of Least Resistance

Market Thoughts: US Dollar on Path of Least Resistance

Market Thoughts Big deficits and looser monetary policy are negative USD, but as long as Currency-hedged US Treasury Yields remain negative then the USD is not weakened significantly. And that is in part why ECB, BOJ et al keep doing it – keep range-bound USD in good...
Market Thoughts: Yields Likely Pop Despite Fed Cuts

Market Thoughts: Yields Likely Pop Despite Fed Cuts

Market Thoughts Last few weeks I have posted my market timing calls and so far so good (tad early or wrong on oil+gas plays potentially): Thinking out loud, here are my short-timeframe Macro-to-Micro Calls for the next few weeks (already detailed in last week’s...
What’s on Tap Weekly Calendar: July 29 – August 2

What’s on Tap Weekly Calendar: July 29 – August 2

What’s on Tap Weekly Calendar   Monday July 29th Economic Calendar: Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity for July Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: AMAL, AMG, AWI, CTB, MCY, NSP, OIS, ONDK, OPB Earnings After the Close: AKS, AMKR, APPF, ARE, BYND, CGNX, CHGG, EHC, FRAC, HLIT, HSII, HTLF, INST, JBT, LEG, MDR, NBIX, NBR, NOV, […]

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Market Thoughts: To Cut Or Not To Cut

Market Thoughts: To Cut Or Not To Cut

Market Thoughts  Bifurcated Rate Cut Sentiment When Fed member John Williams suggested last Thursday  that ‘r-star’ is .50%, markets took it as a sign that a 50 bps rate cut is in the cards. Bonds rallied, markets recovered their day’s losses and Gold and Silver...
Market Thoughts: The Race To The Bottom

Market Thoughts: The Race To The Bottom

Market Thoughts   Central Banks On Parade Markets have no fear. Stocks are at all time highs and Volatility is at all time lows. ECB, BOJ and FED are all due to report their rate decisions in the next week. Draghi goes first. And judging from the price action you...
Market Thoughts: Thinking Out Loud

Market Thoughts: Thinking Out Loud

Market Thoughts To catch you up on Last Week’s Fishing Lessons / Daily Weather Reports: Monday (yesterday): Market Thoughts: Let’s Talk About Volatility Friday: Market Thoughts: Oil About To Get Busy? Thursday: Market Thoughts: Let’s Talk About Gold Wednesday: Market...
Market Thoughts: Let’s Talk About Volatility

Market Thoughts: Let’s Talk About Volatility

Market Thoughts My volatility senses were piqued last Monday. I sent out a warning for a market rollover: If you thought that was a nice move from 3018 to 2985, well consider this: my breadth indicators (this is but one) are indicating the roll-over is just starting....
Gone Fishing Newsletter: The Week Ahead – July 22 – 27

Gone Fishing Newsletter: The Week Ahead – July 22 – 27

To catch you up on Last Week’s Fishing Lessons / Daily Weather Reports: Friday: Market Thoughts: Oil About To Get Busy? Thursday: Market Thoughts: Let’s Talk About Gold Wednesday: Market Thoughts: Silver and Gold Are The New VIX Tuesday: Market Thoughts: Two Acts Running On The Same Main Stage Monday: Market Thoughts: As Good As […]

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What’s on Tap Weekly Calendar: July 22 – 26

What’s on Tap Weekly Calendar: July 22 – 26

What’s on Tap Weekly Calendar   Monday July 22nd Economic Calendar: 8:30 AM EST               Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index for June   Earnings Calendar: Earnings Before the Open: BOH, CADE, CALM, CBU, GNC, HAL, LII, ONB, PETS, RPM, SALT Earnings After the Close:...
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