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Guest Captain: A Grand Currency Agreement Awaits

As a result of talks between US and China being reported as going well, the Yuan has been rising while the USD falls for a change. When negotiations broke-down in August, it weakened beyond 7 for the first time in more than a decade, prompting Washington to formally label Beijing a currency manipulator. But in […]

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Market Thoughts: Fading The Pop in Netflix

Market Thoughts: Fading The Pop in Netflix

Here’s how we faded the Pop in NFLX in my Live Trading Room this morning: Netflix was up 10% after hours Wednesday to $318.79, which excited the Bulls. My immediate reaction was to short the pop ~$315, as I expected the many (45K contracts in Open Interest) who...
Market Thoughts: When Is It Safe To Buy?

Market Thoughts: When Is It Safe To Buy?

“Use what talents you possess; the woods would be very silent if no birds sang there except those that sang best.”Henry van Dyke  Clients know I may not position or manage trades as well as I would like while analyzing, live commentating, engaging directly with clients, writing profusely, and trading across multiple timeframes… but they […]

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Market Thoughts: Inside Jokes & The Week Ahead

Market Thoughts: Inside Jokes & The Week Ahead

Funny Ha-Ha or Funny Strange I am going to share an inside joke with you, and then talk about how this market is one giant Inside Joke. For clients in my Live Trading Room and readers of my Gone Fishing Newsletter, you know how I have been studying and trying hard to...
Week Ahead: September 23 – 27

Week Ahead: September 23 – 27

(Meant to hit Publish on this post Monday – apologies – I was working on a big piece: Indices are Hanging Out Not Breaking Out, which is going out next!) Market Thoughts Generally, I am expecting markets to trade lower but recent snake-like action has been...
Guest Captain Posts: Repo Madness and a P.S.A.

Guest Captain Posts: Repo Madness and a P.S.A.

Consider this a Public Service Announcement Read everything Jess of Monday Morning Macro has written if you are serious about protecting your money.  She is “In The Zone” with this whole Repo Madness: ♥ Far Too Little, Far Too Late ♣ Wait, what? You...
Market Thoughts: Historic Market Timing Calls

Market Thoughts: Historic Market Timing Calls

My job is to identify Inflection Points, and then to ‘operationalize’ them so as to call out actionable trades for clients. Last week was an exceptional week of Market Timing Calls – from my Bond Short Call the day before a 3-sigma standard deviation...
Market Thoughts: The Week Ahead September 9 – 13

Market Thoughts: The Week Ahead September 9 – 13

This is What I’m Watching Most Closely Delayed Reaction Speaks Volumes Iran has a new partner. It’s a big deal and it should be infuriating Trump. China and Iran flesh out strategic partnership, 3 September 2019 Staggered 25-year deal could mark seismic...
Market Thoughts: What If There Is A Trade Deal?

Market Thoughts: What If There Is A Trade Deal?

It was a dramatic day in that my recent posts to sell Bonds and Gold/Miners happened much faster than I expected, but also in that I potentially discovered a reason – outside of my published analysis – as to why stocks, bonds, gold moved so strongly today....
Market Thoughts: I Sold My Gold & Miners Today

Market Thoughts: I Sold My Gold & Miners Today

Gold and Miners have done nothing wrong to warrant me selling them today. In fact, they have performed beyond expectations since I called for a Gold rally in my June 6 podcast for DailyFX and again updated Gold thesis for SeeItMarket this August.  Samantha LaDuc, July...
Market Thoughts: Spying a Bond Pullback

Market Thoughts: Spying a Bond Pullback

Welcome to September… Despite a strong week last week – after four weeks of sideways chop – markets opened down to start the new month with Russell the weakest. The stock and major macro moves today were pretty much over within the 1st 15 minutes:...
Fishing Idea: CVNA – Candy For Millennials

Fishing Idea: CVNA – Candy For Millennials

On Friday I was asked for my analysis on Carvana – ticker CVNA – for publication at CCN, an online markets and crypto publication out of Norway. Below is the exact analysis I sent, and here is the article they wrote from it – featuring a few quotes...
Market Thoughts: Shaken But Not Stirred

Market Thoughts: Shaken But Not Stirred

Courage doesn’t always roar. Sometimes courage is the quiet voice at the end of the day whispering, ‘I will try again tomorrow.’ Mary Anne Radmacher This was my sentiment on the last day of the month of August after a week of chop – both in the...
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