The Daily Market Catch
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With 19% of companies reported, S&P 500 earnings down 3% year-over-year, slowest growth since Q1 2016.
S&P 500 sales up 2.8% in the past year, slowest growth since Q3 2016.
- The last 3 times S&P 500 earnings growth turned negative following an inverted yield curve…
Q3 2007 (recession began Dec 2007)
Q4 2000 (recession began Mar 2001)
Q3 1989 (recession began Jul 1990)
…and when did the Fed start cutting rates after yield curve inversion/earnings decline… Sep 2007 Jan 2001 Jun 1989
Today, the Fed started cutting rates in July and is expected to cut for a 3rd time on Oct 30. They are acting as if we are heading towards recession. @charliebilello
Liquidity makes the weather and Free Money knows no border.
Oh the timing: $AAPL (with $FB) report just before FOMC . Individually, they can cause a market pullback. So what are the chances both $AAPL + Fed disappoint, together?
Keep in mind: Oct 30th Fed cut expectation is now at 91.4%.
Top Reads / Videos
The February 2018 VIX blowup was like a heart attack for short vol. The more persistent threat — the shrinking volatility risk premium — is more like a degenerative disease afflicting the trade. @LJKawa
For more charts and links like these check out my twitter feed.
To Great Fishing!
CIO LaDuc Capital LLC
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